Bundie · Live event markets
You saw it coming. Now get paid for it.
Bet YES or NO on every measurable event. Depegs, outages, TVL drops, network incidents. Self-settling on Solana: your payout lands the moment the trigger condition fires.
Live markets
15 marketsUSDC price below $0.99 for >30 min in next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
$0
NO 50.0%
USDT price below $0.99 for >30 min in next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
$0
NO 50.0%
Kamino main lending pool TVL drops >$50M in any 24h window over next 90 days
YES
52.0%
Depth
$108
NO 48.0%
BTC price above $100,000 at any point in the next 90 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
SOL price below $120 for >15 minutes in the next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
MarginFi main lending TVL drops >$30M in any 24h window over next 90 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
Drift TVL drops >$50M in any 24h window over next 90 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
AWS us-east-1 has an incident >30 min in next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
$0
NO 50.0%
Anthropic API has >5 min downtime in any rolling 7-day window
YES
50.0%
Depth
$0
NO 50.0%
OpenAI API has >5 min downtime in any rolling 7-day window
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
Google Gemini API has >5 min downtime in any rolling 7-day window
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
Cloudflare has a global incident >15 min in the next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
GitHub Actions has >30 min downtime in the next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
Solana mainnet has a network outage >1 hour in the next 90 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
Base sequencer has >30 min downtime in the next 30 days
YES
50.0%
Depth
·
NO 50.0%
Quick rules
- How do I bet?
- Connect a Solana wallet, claim 100 bUSD from the faucet above, then tap YES or NO on any market. The LS-LMSR pool prices you instantly with no spread.
- Who creates the markets?
- Bundie seeds today’s set, but anyone can propose a new one. If it has a verifiable on-chain or public-data trigger we deploy it within 24-48 hours. Suggest a market →
- How do payouts work?
- Every market settles itself from a signed on-chain feed (Pyth, Statuspage, AWS Health, on-chain TVL). The moment the trigger fires your winning shares redeem 1:1 for bUSD. No committee, no manual settlement.